Segen
x Earth Care Consulting

UAE National DRS

Confidential proposal for the Ministry of Economy & Tourism and the Ministry of Climate Change & Environment

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Segen x Earth Care Consulting - July 2026 - Confidential

Design, finance, build and operate the UAE's national Deposit Return System.

A public-private initiative under federal sponsorship: 3.74 billion beverage containers a year recovered at 90% - the GCC's first national, legislated DRS, financeable without public subsidy.

AED 664m
Total CAPEX (2026-2029)
3,500
Reverse vending machines
27.7%
System project IRR
2031
Payback year
90%
Return rate by 2034-35
AED 0.25
Recommended flat deposit
The Project at a Glance

What the national system will look like


Planned national DRS collection network across the seven emirates - concept illustration
The national network. ~9,000 return points across all seven emirates - one per ~1,250 residents - anchored by three counting and sorting centres. Concept illustration, diagrammatic.
Segen-branded reverse vending machine - concept illustration
The consumer touchpoint. Segen-branded reverse vending machines at malls, supermarkets, petrol stations and public locations, refunding AED 0.25 per container. Concept illustration.
The consumer deposit loop - Buy, Return, Refund, Recycle - concept illustration
The deposit loop. Buy with a small refundable deposit, return at any point, receive the full refund, and the container is counted, sorted and remade in the UAE. Concept illustration.
Phased rollout option - Dubai and Abu Dhabi first, national by 2030 - concept illustration
Deployment flexibility. National day-one as the primary path, with a quantified staged-activation option - Dubai and Abu Dhabi first (2028), national completion by 2030. Concept illustration.
The Five Asks

What we respectfully request of the two ministries


1

Adopt the DRS

As the beverage-container instrument of the national Extended Producer Responsibility framework, building directly on the 2025 MOCCAE-Tadweer pilot.

2

Sponsor enabling legislation

A Cabinet Resolution under Federal Law No. 12 of 2018 establishing the deposit, the system-operator licence and the escrow regime - 18-24 months from decision to a 2028 go-live.

3

Stand up a joint programme office

In H2 2026, to run mobilisation (Phase 0): drafting instructions, emirate engagement and structured stakeholder consultation.

4

Convene industry

Producers, importers and retailers in a design working group under the UAE Circular Economy Council, so deposit, fees and network obligations are set with - not for - industry.

5

Commission volume validation

Mandatory producer/importer SKU-level reporting to convert this study's modelled estimates into a verified statutory baseline before fees are fixed.

Interactive Financial Model

Four scenarios, one decision


Every figure traces to the study's formula-driven financial model (R7 assumptions memo and R8 phased-scenario memo, July 2026). Unredeemed deposits are escrowed pass-through liabilities and appear nowhere as revenue.

Key metrics

Source: R7 section 1-2 (National Base / Conservative / Optimistic); R8 section 3 (Phased)
Project IRR
-
NPV @ 8%
-
Payback
-
Peak funding
-
Total CAPEX
-

CAPEX phasing

Source: R7 section 1 / R8 section 3. Conservative and Optimistic splits are the base profile scaled to scenario totals (illustrative).

Cumulative cash flow 2026-2037

Anchors (peak funding, payback) per R7/R8 model; curve shape between anchors is illustrative interpolation - the convention used in the study's own chart 11.

Steady-state revenue mix

Source: R7 section 1-2. Unredeemed-deposit revenue share is replaced by producer fees by design.

The Study

Executive summary and key exhibits


The opportunity

The UAE places an estimated 3.7 billion single-use beverage containers on its market each year - consumption intensity unmatched anywhere in the world - yet today's voluntary schemes recover only a low-single-digit share of that flow. With the final phase of the federal single-use plastics ban in force since 1 January 2026, beverage containers are the dominant remaining single-use stream - and the only one that can be recovered at 90%+ rates as high-grade industrial feedstock rather than prohibited.

Deposit return is the proven instrument for exactly this: a 91% median return rate across European DRS countries against sub-50% for kerbside collection, with more than 400 million people already living in deposit jurisdictions.

The proposal

Segen (Dubai) and Earth Care Consulting (European DRS specialists, with implementation roles in the Lithuanian, Slovak, Austrian and Portuguese launches and a current advisory mandate to the UK Government) propose to design, finance, build and operate the UAE's national DRS as a public-private initiative under federal sponsorship and supervision:

  • A small, fully refundable deposit - recommended reference AED 0.25 flat per container (non-binding) - applied at purchase and refunded in full on return;
  • A national return network of 3,500 reverse vending machines plus ~5,500 manual and HoReCa collection points - approximately 9,000 return points, one per ~1,250 residents;
  • Three counting and sorting centres (Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Sharjah/Northern Emirates) and a central clearing platform registering every eligible container, deposit transaction and recycled tonne;
  • Producer funding: recommended fees of AED 0.20 / 0.08 / 0.24 per PET / aluminium / glass container (non-binding), calibrated for steady-state cost recovery with an annual statutory fee review;
  • Governance: a single, not-for-profit Deposit System Operator under two-ministry supervision, with all deposit funds held as pass-through liabilities in transparent escrow. Segen earns zero from unredeemed deposits.

Headline numbers

#MetricBase case
1Containers placed on market (2028 launch)3.74 billion/yr (PET 2.90 / cans 0.66 / glass 0.18)
2Total CAPEX (2026-2029, phased)AED 664 million (~AED 59 per resident)
3Reverse vending machine fleet3,500 machines
4Return-rate path55% (year 1) to 90% by 2034
5System project IRR (unlevered)27.7%
6NPV @ 8% discount rate+AED 349 million
7Payback / peak funding need2031 / AED 294 million
8Employment~1,200-1,500 jobs

All figures per the study's financial model (R7 assumptions memo, 2026). The year-1 deposit float (~AED 935 million gross) is escrowed consumer money - a memo item, never revenue. PET volumes are modelled, pending producer/importer validation.

Strategic alignment

  • UAE Circular Economy Policy 2021-2031 - delivers the policy's missing operational loop: clean, food-grade recyclate returned to domestic manufacturing, with a ready-made governance home in the Circular Economy Council.
  • Net Zero 2050 and NDC 3.0 (-47% GHG by 2035) - a quantified, annually reported waste-sector contribution with audit-grade MRV data under the 2024 Climate Change Law.
  • The 2025 MOCCAE-Tadweer EPR pilot - the DRS nests directly into the pilot's producer-registration and reporting machinery; DRS producer fees discharge EPR obligations for beverage containers, with no double-charging.
  • Regional first mover - the first national, legislated DRS in the GCC; Abu Dhabi's EAD Bottle Return Scheme (23 million units collected in 2024, 100+ RVMs, 2,000+ tonnes recovered since launch) has already proven UAE consumer acceptance - without any deposit.

The ask

This study respectfully requests that the Ministry of Economy & Tourism and the Ministry of Climate Change & Environment:

  • 1. Adopt the DRS as the beverage-container instrument of the national EPR framework, building directly on the 2025 MOCCAE-Tadweer pilot;
  • 2. Sponsor enabling legislation - a Cabinet Resolution under Federal Law No. 12 of 2018 establishing the deposit, the system-operator licence and the escrow regime for unredeemed deposits; international experience indicates 18-24 months from political decision to go-live, supporting a 2028 national launch;
  • 3. Stand up a joint ministerial programme office in H2 2026 to run mobilisation (Phase 0);
  • 4. Convene producers, importers and retailers into a design working group under the UAE Circular Economy Council;
  • 5. Commission validation of container volumes through mandatory producer/importer SKU-level reporting before fees are fixed.

Why Segen x Earth Care

  • Local architect, proven implementer. Segen brings UAE alliance architecture and principal representation; Earth Care has designed and launched national deposit systems across 15+ countries - including Lithuania, the closest design template to the UAE proposal (92.3% return rate, built in under two years).
  • A binding financial pledge. Zero income from unredeemed deposits - stated in Segen's own Project Description and hard-wired into not-for-profit governance, statutory escrow and independent audit.
  • Financeable without public subsidy. 60/40 debt/equity on the Romanian green-loan precedent; Segen commits AED 150 million; the system pays back by 2031 and operates at cost recovery under a transparent annual fee review.
  • A complete, decision-ready package. Market research, 60-jurisdiction benchmark evidence, a draft legislative outline, a formula-driven financial model, an implementation roadmap and a 14-item risk register - all delivered in the accompanying Master Study.

The window is now. The 2026 plastics ban has cleared the field; the EPR pilot has built the regulatory machinery; consumer behaviour is proven at pilot scale. A national DRS is the logical - and financially self-sustaining - next act of the UAE's circular-economy agenda.

Key exhibits

Selected charts from the Master Study exhibit set (all figures per R7/R8) and concept illustrations from the design package.

Global DRS return rates benchmark
Exhibit 1 - Global return rates. Deposit systems achieve a 91% median return rate against sub-50% for kerbside collection. European benchmark operations - Lithuania at 92.3% is the closest design template to the UAE proposal.
Launch ramp-ups across six DRS systems
Exhibit 2 - The race to 90%. Recent launches (Romania, Hungary, Austria, Ireland, Slovakia, Malta) reached 80-89% within two years; the UAE ramp is deliberately moderated. European benchmark operations - Lithuania reached 74% in its first year.
Deposit and money flow diagram
Exhibit 3 - Money flows and the escrow barrier. Deposit funds are pass-through liabilities held in transparent escrow (Slovakia model); unredeemed balances accrue to a system reserve, never to Segen.
CAPEX breakdown AED 664m
Exhibit 4 - CAPEX breakdown. AED 664m total: RVM fleet 385, centres 108, IT 30, vehicles 40, setup 45, contingency 56 - approximately AED 59 per resident.
Cumulative cash-flow curve
Exhibit 5 - Cash-flow curve 2026-2037. Peak funding AED 294m in 2028; payback 2031; system IRR 27.7%, NPV @8% +AED 349m.
Scenario comparison
Exhibit 6 - Scenarios. Conservative 2.5% / Base 27.7% / Optimistic 67% IRR; the fee-review mechanic restores cost recovery at the conservative boundary and returns surplus at the optimistic boundary.
UAE return-rate ramp to 90%
Exhibit 7 - Statutory return-rate path. 55% in year 1 rising to 90% by 2034-35, moderated from the fastest European launches for network build-out and first-in-region status.
Implementation roadmap 2026-2030
Exhibit 8 - Implementation roadmap. 18-24 months from political decision to go-live supports a 2028 national launch; phases 0-4 with statutory milestones.
Concept Illustration Concept map of UAE return network
CONCEPT ILLUSTRATION - National network design. Diagrammatic (not to scale): RVM clusters sized by estimated population and the three planned counting and sorting centres (Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Sharjah/Northern Emirates).
Concept Illustration Concept render of Segen-branded reverse vending machine
CONCEPT ILLUSTRATION - Segen-branded RVM. Flat-vector front elevation; the AED 0.25 deposit value shown is illustrative, subject to scheme design.
Concept Illustration Consumer loop diagram: buy, return, refund, recycle
CONCEPT ILLUSTRATION - The consumer loop. Buy, return, refund, recycle: deliberately simple for consumers, rigorous for industry.
Concept Illustration Concept map of phased rollout
CONCEPT ILLUSTRATION - Phased rollout option. Diagrammatic: Phase 1 (Dubai, Abu Dhabi) from 2028, Phase 2 (Northern Emirates) from 2030 - indicative planning years, not confirmed dates.
Minister Pitch Deck

The 12-slide presentation


The ministerial pitch in twelve slides. Use the arrows or your keyboard to navigate.

UAE DRS pitch deck - slide 1
1 / 12  -  Cover
Download PPTX

Keyboard: left / right arrow keys navigate the deck.

Document Library

The complete deliverable package


All documents are final deliverables of the July 2026 study, prepared by Segen in partnership with Earth Care Consulting.

DOCX

UAE National DRS - Feasibility & Implementation Study (Master Study, D1)

The complete decision-ready study: market evidence, 60-jurisdiction benchmarks, legislation outline, implementation roadmap and risk register.

4.1 MB
Download
DOCX

UAE DRS - Executive Summary (D5)

The two-page minister summary: the opportunity, the proposal, headline numbers and the five asks.

418 KB
Download
DOCX

Segen DRS - Business Feasibility & Investment Case (D2)

The commercial structure and investment economics: SPV design, financing plan and Segen-level returns.

1.3 MB
Download
DOCX

UAE DRS - Government Approval Pack (D3)

The decision document for ministries: legislative pathway, governance model and approval milestones.

658 KB
Download
XLSX

Segen DRS - Financial Model

The complete formula-driven workbook: base case with scenario toggle plus the full phased-rollout sheets (Phased_Assumptions, Phased_CAPEX, Phased_P&L, Phased_Returns).

68 KB
Download
PPTX

UAE DRS - Minister Pitch (12 slides)

The presentation deck for the ministerial delegation, viewable above in the Pitch Deck section.

1.5 MB
Download